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Old 02-01-2018, 01:43 PM   #496
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
What site provides these numbers now? Is it still Corsica?

And really I don't think it can be understated how much a poor shooting percentage is hurting this team. Whether that's luck or talent remains to be seen but they are still generating chances as you showed above.

Just looking back at the last couple years with largely a similar core of players.

14/15: 10.5% - 1st
15/16: 9.5% - 7th
16/17: 9.3% - 14th
17/18: 8.4% - 23rd

So if you look at that you could say 14/15 was clearly lucky, the next two years are probably about what the "talent" level of this team dictates, and then this year is unlucky.

Team has scored 137 goals on 1629 shots this year. If they were shooting about the same as the last two seasons (9.4%) we would have 153 goals. Considering all the close games the Flames have been in and lost this season those 16 goals would go a long way in the standings.
If you're going to dismiss a 4 year trend as luck, then what it the point of statistical analysis at all?

To me, that is a trend that reflects a change int eh style of play.
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