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Old 02-01-2018, 12:32 PM   #478
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Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
What site provides these numbers now? Is it still Corsica?

And really I don't think it can be understated how much a poor shooting percentage is hurting this team. Whether that's luck or talent remains to be seen but they are still generating chances as you showed above.

Just looking back at the last couple years with largely a similar core of players.

14/15: 10.5% - 1st
15/16: 9.5% - 7th
16/17: 9.3% - 14th
17/18: 8.4% - 23rd

So if you look at that you could say 14/15 was clearly lucky, the next two years are probably about what the "talent" level of this team dictates, and then this year is unlucky.

Team has scored 137 goals on 1629 shots this year. If they were shooting about the same as the last two seasons (9.4%) we would have 153 goals. Considering all the close games the Flames have been in and lost this season those 16 goals would go a long way in the standings.
Natural Stat Trick for the core data, but then you have to manipulate the hell out of it.

I think they're pressing.

The best way to see that is in the miss totals that the Flames continue to have.

Missed shots 1st (that's the total at 718, next closest is Carolina at 691)

Crossbars - 11 (1st, 7 is 2nd)
Posts - 27 (13th)
Over the Net - 79 (3rd)
Wide - 601 (tied for first)

Young core trying to be too perfect on shots is my guess.

And this is why I think things are going to break in the right direction. They have the chances against down, becoming an elite differential team with a really high missed shot total.

Confidence will change everything.

Personally I'd have them shooting middle of the net for the month of February and see what happens.
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