View Single Post
Old 02-01-2018, 12:35 PM   #471
SuperMatt18
Franchise Player
 
SuperMatt18's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Calgary, AB
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
It's had an effect, but the overall impact has the differential better.

Before Dec 5th the Flames were 9.3/8.0 + 1.3
After Dec 5th the Flames are 8.9/7.2 + 1.7

They've gone from average in preventing to elite, and have gone from elite in generating to above average.

To put that in perspective, +1.3 would be 6th overall in the NHL to date, +1.7 is 2nd overall behind only Dallas.

The Flames on the season as a whole are +1.5 and 5th (essentially tied for 2nd)
What site provides these numbers now? Is it still Corsica?

And really I don't think it can be understated how much a poor shooting percentage is hurting this team. Whether that's luck or talent remains to be seen but they are still generating chances as you showed above.

Just looking back at the last couple years with largely a similar core of players.

14/15: 10.5% - 1st
15/16: 9.5% - 7th
16/17: 9.3% - 14th
17/18: 8.4% - 23rd

So if you look at that you could say 14/15 was clearly lucky, the next two years are probably about what the "talent" level of this team dictates, and then this year is unlucky.

Team has scored 137 goals on 1629 shots this year. If they were shooting about the same as the last two seasons (9.4%) we would have 153 goals. Considering all the close games the Flames have been in and lost this season those 16 goals would go a long way in the standings.

Last edited by SuperMatt18; 02-01-2018 at 12:47 PM.
SuperMatt18 is online now