Quote:
Originally Posted by Poe969
...And over the last 2 years he was better than .6 points per game but the rest of the years he's about a .4 point per game player. You can't really just pick the years you want to take an average of. He hit his offensive peak last year, the year before that was even a bit high for him. He's a .5 point per game player over his career.
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But for many players a career average is not an accurate representation of where they are at at one specific point in their career. Older players like Joe Thornton and the Sedins have career-average production at or close to a point/game, and there is no one who expects any of these players to get near 70 points this season. For a player like Backlund who took a long time breaking in to the NHL and who is presently
only 28-years-old it seems patently obvious that his last two years' production is a better measure from which to project than factoring into the equation his 25-point rookie season as somehow more relevant in the calculation.
Backlund is on pace to score 50 points again this season, and it remains a good bet that he will be in range of that number for at least another year or two.