Quote:
Originally Posted by nfotiu
I wouldn't call it a must win, but definitely the biggest game of the year so far.
A few interesting things from sports club stats
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western/Pacific.html
We have a 47% chance of getting a division seed and only 8% chance of a wildcard, so really we are battling with LA, the Ducks and maybe SJ for the division spots with the wild card not really a factor.
Goiing into the game, we're a toss up with LA 56.1 for us vs 59 for them.
Win in regulation, it goes to Flames 63 vs Kings 51.
Lose in regulation, it goes to Flames 47 vs Kings 68. |
I don't get how that site works.
If flames win in reg, they are three ahead of the kings with a game in hand. If Flames lose, they are one behind Kings and a game in hand.
But yet somehow according to the site, being one ahead with playing more games is worth 68% while being three up and a game in hand is only worth 63?
Wouldn't the Flames situation after a reg win being more likely to make playoffs than the Kings if they won in reg? Or is there more to it then just the standings? Do they somehow have some other formula that figures the kings are a superior team thus more likely to make it even with the deficit?