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Old 01-17-2018, 01:26 PM   #23
Arsenal14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic View Post
I would imagine there is an explanation included somewhere to explain the breakdown of the numbers. Based on how they shift the further right on the chart you go I assume it has to do with combinations of schedule strength, home/road records, and some form of Corsi.
From the page that the chart came from:
Quote:
The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, which factors in each team's projected strength, current health, and their strength of schedule (which includes opponent strength, venue and rest)
The current health aspect is why the Blackhawks have quite low odds right now with the news that Crawford may be out for the season. Not sure why the Flames Cup odds are so much better than San Jose - maybe we match up better with the Eastern teams for some reason.
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