Great article. Really liked the bit about passing into the danger zone. That speaks to what some of us have been saying about there being different degrees of high danger.
Then you also said this:
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If you do get chances but you don’t score it has to come down to one of two things; a) a lack of finishing players or b) some bad luck.
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which I would again argue misses a third option, that maybe your chances just aren't as high quality.
Conversely, we also have this:
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They are 1st in crossbars, 5th in goal posts, 4th in shots that miss the net high, and 1st in shots that miss the net wide.
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Pretty indisputable that there has also been some bad luck involved. IMO, bad luck is a residual of a lack of confidence. Hopefully, they get a little 'luckier' in the 2nd half.
There would be no way to quantify it I am guessing, but it would be interesting to see numbers on zone entries.