Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew
I don’t think it’s irrelevant. I’m just having a hard time believing a 2 on 1 is the same quality chance as a wrist shot from the top of the circle. It does seem useful as one piece of data though.
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For sure, but that's not my argument.
I'm just doubtful that the Flames are able to get into the high scoring areas deemed by the NHL statisticians to be high danger, but on average not be as high danger as other team's high danger. That gets a little suspect in my opinion.
The Flames high danger corsi % on the powerplay is ranked 11th in the league, which I don't find all that useful as all teams out play the opposition up a man, the Flames at a clip that ranks 11th.
So instead I looked at total number of powerplays by dividing total PP minutes by two. Then looking at the scoring chance rate per powerplay for every NHL team.
The Leafs are dominant at 1.2 high danger chances per powerplay.
The average NHL team averages 0.73 chances per man advantage.
The Flames are 5th at 0.88 chances per opportunity, behind Toronto, Dallas, and Pittsburgh.
That says to me there's a lot more bad luck and bad execution than bad coaching statistically.
To say otherwise is to assume things that can't be proven.
With that said however I haven't liked the deployment at all, for many reasons.
1. Get wingers on their off wings to create inside lane shots with better angles
2. Get players moving, stationary 1-3-1 powerplays are too easy to defend
3. Get a shooter on the powerplay as I see Hamilton as the perfect catch and receive option on the top of the umbrella with Gaudreau feeding him from the right side.