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Originally Posted by GGG
If it plays like the other 2nd movie in the trilogies 68%-70% of TFA should have been the expectation. So 1.4-1.45 billion. It looks close to getting there. Domestically it is playing like Jurassic word so should finish up 650ish domestic and minus China is averaging 50% world wide so that's puts it at 1.3. Add in the 50-100 million from china and you are right around the 1.4 billion that should have been expected based on the previous sequel performances.
So I don't think an arguement can be made the the quality of the last Jedi hurt it's box office performance. It's an open question if it hurts the next movie but we won't know that until we see the opening weekend numbers in 2019.
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Not sure where you get this huge drop off for sequels from...If you look at established franchises like Lord of the Rings, Harry Potter, Hunger Games, etc...the movies don't show any substantial drop off and instead fluctuate based on reception. It's a different issue when you have a hit and randomly create a sequel to it.
Comparing a Star Wars trilogy to sequels as a whole really doesn't make sense. You have to compare it to other films in an established series.