Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
No, we've reviewed the data, listened to the arguments, have observed the results, and have come to a conclusion of the required action based on past experience and similar outcomes. The data is not being supported by the results, and has not for some time.
We're basically observing the same behaviors another team did when they thought their coach was better than he was. There is a move afoot searching for fancy stats to prove this team is better than the results, when the results remain pretty consistent regardless of the fancy stats. "Visually" this team is better than the results. Bottom line, this talent on this team is better than the results are showing, at least this is what the moves of management to assemble the team suggest. The talent is there, but something is preventing it from using its strengths. What could that possibly be?
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None of this I really disagree with. But using "fancy stats" I also have a hard time blaming the coach for the problems. Inconsistent effort on the part of the players, mental weakness if you will. I also think there has been a lack of finish in a lot of games, last night was a good example of the game plan working but a few missed opportunities cost the team the win.
I think there is a lot of work to do on the special teams, having anywhere near an average PP in the last month probably is worth 4-6 more points. I also think the team lacks an energy fourth line, but that is most likely beyond the range of the coach to deal with as it is up to the GM to move Brouwer and Stajan and Freddie/Lazar really aren't upgrades.
I think most of the "don't fire" people aren't relying 100% on the "fancy stats" but are using them in their decision making process to determine if it is the coach or if there are other intangibles that need to be considered. My issue is basically saying people are "unwise" for not ignoring the statistics.
I am comfortable knowing that I could very well be wrong and this team never figures it out and that the results never match the statistics. It happens. I just think that the underlying play of the team, especially 5v5, has been good and can result in success going forward.
Just different ways to draw a conclusion looking at the same problem.