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Old 12-15-2017, 10:00 AM   #86
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
Bingo:

Let me please explain something... I thought your article was fantastic. The work that you did brought some great incite and information to the table for discussion. Your articles add a great deal to what is my favourite site.

My comments and objections are directed at the conclusions people draw from counting stats, which, IMO, have far too much noise in them for the vigor with which people draw conclusions to be justified.

But please, do not in any way shape or form, conclude that I am attacking you or your article and what it brings to discussion, which, as I said, I very much appreciate.
All good man, no worries at all.

And I hope you guys don't think that I run numbers and then call it a guarantee of future success. They're not.

a) the team may never become more than a good underlying team, it happens. There are always outliers, the Flames in 14/15 were one of them.
b) the team may stop playing this way tomorrow and never win a game again. Just because you've outchanced teams for 30 games it doesn't mean it will continue.

I do think it's a pretty good indicator that systems are working and the team is playing well though. But it could never be a guarantee
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