Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Well first off I didn't include just five on five possession numbers, I had "all" situations as well, which brings special teams into it, and overall chances. If the Flames PK and PP suck then you have an issue, but when analyzed with the oppositions play you get a balanced result which is the Flames are out chancing their opponents in all situations.
That's just the summary.
They are indicators as I said.
I can't speak to breaking down five alarm high danger chances from just high danger chances, that's getting into splitting an atom. If the Flames are giving up more dangerous dangerous chances then yes they'd be in trouble, but I have no way of quantifying that.
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And that is pretty much my point. There isn't enough information, and there is too much noise, in possession numbers to be able to determine whether a team is in fact 'good' or not. It is just as reasonable to conclude that a team is unlucky as it is to conclude that their style of play is flawed. In other words, it doesn't really tell us much at all (other than they are getting more chances).
Which is why I prefer eye-test analyses. I see problems with the way they play. To me, those problems plausibly explain why they are, IMO, under-performing.