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Old 12-14-2017, 05:00 PM   #44
GullFoss
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FWIW, I did a monte carlo on bingo's numbers. It implied that if the flames kept up their play of the past 20 games, they would - on average - finish the season with 103 points. Probably good enough to end up second in the division.

Over a full season, their play over the past 20 games implies a 110 point season, which is good enough to win the division.

Full season Monte Carlo below with points on the x axis and probability of reaching such point totals on the Y axis. Note only 150 observations because my vba skills are bad and im lazy. But it still gives the gist of the probability distribution of what this brand of flames hockey translates into points wise over 82 games.


Last edited by GullFoss; 12-14-2017 at 05:39 PM.
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