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driveway · 12-08-2017, 01:21 AM

Some Monahan-math and overall goal-scoring comparisons.

At the beginning of the season, Monahan was scoring 0.335 goals per game for his career. Just slightly below guys like Patrick Marleau and Jason Spezza (.340), almost identical to Mike Camalleri (.336), and better than Bobby Ryan (.326), Henrik Zetterberg (.321), or Anze Kopitar (.320).

Since the beginning of the season, Monahan has been scoring a phenomenal .586 gpg -- slightly better than Brett Hull's career .584 -- this has lifted Monahan's overall pace to .356 gpg, barely below Joe Pavelski and Phil Kessel (.360) and above Eric Staal (.350). So if we just watched the best 29 goal scoring games of Monahan's career and he regresses to his current career average, he's going to come within spitting distance of Kessel's career numbers.

Should he manage to tear through the whole season at .586, he'd end the year with a career rate of .387 gpg. If he then continued scoring like that, leaving 2017-18 as his outlying goal-scoring peak, he'd end his career a hair's breadth below Corey Perry (.388) and a better goal scorer than Jeff Carter (.384), Patrick Kane (.384), James Neal (.381), or Tyler Seguin (.378).

12-08-2017, 01:21 AM	#12
driveway A Fiddler Crab Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Chicago Exp:	Some Monahan-math and overall goal-scoring comparisons. At the beginning of the season, Monahan was scoring 0.335 goals per game for his career. Just slightly below guys like Patrick Marleau and Jason Spezza (.340), almost identical to Mike Camalleri (.336), and better than Bobby Ryan (.326), Henrik Zetterberg (.321), or Anze Kopitar (.320). Since the beginning of the season, Monahan has been scoring a phenomenal .586 gpg -- slightly better than Brett Hull's career .584 -- this has lifted Monahan's overall pace to .356 gpg, barely below Joe Pavelski and Phil Kessel (.360) and above Eric Staal (.350). So if we just watched the best 29 goal scoring games of Monahan's career and he regresses to his current career average, he's going to come within spitting distance of Kessel's career numbers. Should he manage to tear through the whole season at .586, he'd end the year with a career rate of .387 gpg. If he then continued scoring like that, leaving 2017-18 as his outlying goal-scoring peak, he'd end his career a hair's breadth below Corey Perry (.388) and a better goal scorer than Jeff Carter (.384), Patrick Kane (.384), James Neal (.381), or Tyler Seguin (.378).