Quote:
Originally Posted by kevman
That is a strong correlation. But it isn't a very good predictor. It's no surprise that the team that scores more goals wins the game. That's kind of the point. It's also no surprise that the team that has won more games scored more goals than they let in.
If you look at the current standings you see that they already follow the goal differential closely. So if you were to use it as a predictor you would say that Chicago and San Jose should be doing better and Pittsburgh should be doing worse. Other than that almost every team is exactly where they should be.
Is there a connection between winning big and where you're expected to finish in the standings? Is Vegas with 31 points a far better team than Nashville with 31 points because they win bigger and lose closer? Is Pittsburgh worse than their record because when they lose, they lose bad?
To quote Itse, would making brackets from goal differential do a good job at predicting the playoffs?
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Let’s talk at the end of the season when the blowouts and shutouts even out. I would bet $100 on a playoff bracket picked with goal differential vs any other method.