Quote:
Originally Posted by Classic_Sniper
Alright so, maybe some people didn't appreciate the idea that we are 'by far the worst,' but based on the small amount of stats that I had garnered up in the time frame I had, it appeared to me that we had the worst bottom 6 production and you know what, I still don't necessarily believe that I'm wrong.
I might not have all the stats to make my point definitive without doubt, but I did pull up 'STATS' that revealed that the 3rd and 4th line by themselves, have only produced goals in 2 out of the 21 games this season. I think anyone who has watched this team closely has probably realized that when a goal is scored, it's almost always generated by someone in our top 6. Now obviously I haven't and by the way, will not be looking up every team and every box score in the league to see how much production each bottom 6 has produced each game. But I doubt any team has received less game by game production than we have. If someone wants to do the research to prove that I am wrong, have at it, but I am steadfast that 2 games out of 21 has to be up there with the league's worst.
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I don't mean to pile on, but I think there are two reasons for that:
1. The best players play on the top lines. It stands to reason that if you put your best players (those with the best shooting percentage and ability to create offence) on your first and second line, those will be the lines that score most often.
2. Your first and second lines are typically getting significantly more ice time than your third and fourth lines. For example, Gaudreau is averaging almost 14 minutes of ice time per night 5v5 while Versteeg and Brouwer are getting less than 10 each. That's 40% more ice time for the first line than the fourth. In which case, you might expect somewhere around 40% more production from your first line (assuming all players were generating offence at the same rate, but see point #1).
If we were to look at each team based on average ice time and compare their top six forwards against the rest of the team, we would probably find a a large percentage of goals came from the top six. This would be a massive project that I won't be tackling anytime soon.