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Originally Posted by Torture
I don't understand how they're on pace for 96-97, are in a playoff spot right now, but weighted, have a less than 50% chance to make the playoffs.
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Because there are 6 teams a mere two points below us in the conference, we've played one more home game then away game and we have a negative goal differential.
Frankly I don't assign a lot of value to sportsclubstats odds this early. There's still to much noise and not enough signal.
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given some teams are essentially out of the running at this point? (Phoenix, Edmonton, etc)
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I wouldn't count Edmonton out just yet. They're rapidly running out of runway but by my estimation if they perform the rest of the way the same as they did last year they'd be able to claim a WC spot. I think the next two weeks will basically decide their season. It's one thing to think a bottom two team can improve to the level of it's own prior year play, it's quite another to think they can play up to a Presidents Trophy pace.