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Old 11-12-2017, 10:17 AM   #859
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Originally Posted by Fan in Exile View Post
Sorry but I really think you're taking the stats too far to suit how you want to see things. Top three corsi teams in the league are the Hurricanes, Oilers and Canadiens. I bristle at the idea that when results do not correspond to stats, it is a reflection of luck. Shooting percentage is not luck. Monahan has a high shooting percentage and there's no one on the team I would rather have shooting the puck. He also finds the dangerous areas at the right times. Those are very important skills. I think the Lightning undoubtedly have more high-end offensive talent than the Flames. We're all fans anyway but I don't think you do a team any favours by concluding we're just not getting the bounces when comparing ourselves to teams that are scoring more than we are. I think you look at what you can do better, or who you can get who would do better than who you've got.

Positive offensive trends over the past handful of games though so maybe the "bounces" are starting to come. Hopefully it continues and you can say I told you so.
Well first of all I'm not doing anything with the stats but looking them up. They are what they are. Everyone sees a game differently, but the stats happen to back up what I'm seeing these days. But I'm not altering or editing in any way to prove a point.

Monahan is Monahan, I don't disagree. But the Flames have half a roster shooting at a level that is unsustainable bad. The league averages 8% five on five, and 9.5% in all situations through the last 5 seasons. If you're way under that with an NHL roster it's likely to change.

There will be always be outliers for sure, and I don't disagree with that, but just as I didn't think Mike Smith would stay at .960 for a save percentage all season, I was pretty sure the Flames wouldn't stay at 5% in shooting percentage either.

What happened this week? Smith leaking a bit, and the Flames scoring, both trending back towards the mean.

The Flames rode Smith to a 4-2-0 record that they didn't deserve.
Then they went 2-4-0 when they were actually playing much better.

Happens.

Right now they are trending positive in most fashions based on the numbers. But up to you if you a) don't agree or b) see it differently.
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