Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Stats can only go so far, but some of your questions can be answered.
Scoring Chances:
5 on 5 the Flames are 10th in the NHL generating 11.6 high danger scoring chances per 60 minutes of five on five hockey.
On the powerlay the Flames are ranked 12th with 23.6 high danger scoring chances per 60 minutes on the powerplay (with 6 minutes a night that's essentially 23.6 every ten games or 2.4 per game)
The Bolts are 22nd in 5 on 5 scoring chances per 60 minutes at 10.3, 1.3 per game behind the Flames.
The Bolts are 4th in powerplay scoring chances though with 27.7 per 60 minutes which is roughly 2.8 per game (averaging) or .4 per game more than the Flames.
So the scoring chances are actually higher for the Flames in the average game.
Shooting percentage:
The Flames have a scoring chance conversion rate of 9.86% five on five, and 13.51% on the powerplay which is 25th and 23rd ranked respectively.
The Bolts are 16.41% (3rd) five on five and 18.37% (14th) on the powerplay.
Conclusion:
Hard to make any really. The Flames are certainly generating chances a better clip than you are seeing, but there are no stats to determine who has the most talent to finish.
I would say however, that it takes more talent to generate a chance than it necessarily takes to finish a chance, so I think the answer isn't simply "they Lightning have better players", but also the Lightning are getting some bounces over a relatively small sample size so far.
To each their own to interpret though.
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Sorry but I really think you're taking the stats too far to suit how you want to see things. Top three corsi teams in the league are the Hurricanes, Oilers and Canadiens. I bristle at the idea that when results do not correspond to stats, it is a reflection of luck. Shooting percentage is not luck. Monahan has a high shooting percentage and there's no one on the team I would rather have shooting the puck. He also finds the dangerous areas at the right times. Those are very important skills. I think the Lightning undoubtedly have more high-end offensive talent than the Flames. We're all fans anyway but I don't think you do a team any favours by concluding we're just not getting the bounces when comparing ourselves to teams that are scoring more than we are. I think you look at what you can do better, or who you can get who would do better than who you've got.
Positive offensive trends over the past handful of games though so maybe the "bounces" are starting to come. Hopefully it continues and you can say I told you so.