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Old 10-30-2017, 02:51 PM   #573
18YrOldSamBennett
Backup Goalie
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GranteedEV View Post
I wouldn't give them the same benefit of the doubt, since they don't have similarily good underlying numbers.

5v5 xGF% (Score-Adjusted)
Oilers - 59.15 (1st in NHL, 1st in West)
Flames - 48.92 (18th in NHL, 9th in West)

5v5 CF% (Score-Adjusted)
Oilers - 55.35 (1st in NHL, 1st in West)
Flames - 49.95 (14th in NHL, 6th in West)

5v5 GF% (Score-Adjusted)
Oilers - 46.39 (21st in NHL, 9th in West)
Flames - 51.18 (14th in NHL, 7th in West)

I don't want to read too much into the numbers, but it's safe to say that the Flames are about where they deserve to be, while the Oilers have a legitimate argument for being unlucky.
Don't forget about Score Effects. Typically the trailing teams CF/CA improves as the other team is more focused holding the lead. But I completely understand where you're coming from.

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