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Old 10-30-2017, 09:51 AM   #549
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GranteedEV View Post
I wouldn't give them the same benefit of the doubt, since they don't have similarily good underlying numbers.

5v5 xGF% (Score-Adjusted)
Oilers - 59.15 (1st in NHL, 1st in West)
Flames - 48.92 (18th in NHL, 9th in West)

5v5 CF% (Score-Adjusted)
Oilers - 55.35 (1st in NHL, 1st in West)
Flames - 49.95 (14th in NHL, 6th in West)

5v5 GF% (Score-Adjusted)
Oilers - 46.39 (21st in NHL, 9th in West)
Flames - 51.18 (14th in NHL, 7th in West)

I don't want to read too much into the numbers, but it's safe to say that the Flames are about where they deserve to be, while the Oilers have a legitimate argument for being unlucky.
Well first I never equated Calgary and Edmonton.

I just said if I'm going to give the Oilers the benefit of the doubt for their underlying numbers I'm certainly going to do the same if there are stats that look similar for the Flames.

Additionally I talked about how they are trending a certain way, so showing season totals doesn't really do the trick.

First 6 Games
4-2-0
GF/GA - 17-17
CF% 5on5 - 49.6%
CF% All Situations - 47.8%
HDCF% 5on5 - 45.7%
HDCF% All Situations - 47.7%
Shooting Percentage 5on5 - 6.6%
Shooting Percentage All Situations - 9.0%

Last 6 Games
2-4-0
GF/GA - 10-16
CF% 5on5 - 53.5%
CF% All Situations - 53.1%
HDCF% 5on5 - 58.3%
HDCF% All Situations - 57.4%
Shooting Percentage 5on5 - 5.9%
Shooting Percentage All Situations - 5.3%

I see a team playing better but squeezing their sticks. Don't think that's much of a reach either.
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