Not unless there are some significant and unforeseen additional events. You still have to get rid of one more leader who has no interest in a real and meaningful peace settlement.
In addition, none of the Palestinians who the US favour to take over leadership have any credibility with the Palestinian street or militant groups, and you need both with you when you make a deal. Regardless of how any Westerners saw Arafat, Palestinians supported him because they saw him as someone who had fought for the cause, while this new group which appears to be taking over is just a bunch of bureaucrats.
I agree with Middle East pundits like Tom Freidman who say that a Palestinian coalition capable of agreeing to a meaningful peace settlement will have to include Hamas and could bring them to the table, as opposed to one which doesn't include them but claims that it can control them.
Finally, I had to laugh at Bush's comment in his recent press conference that he was going to "spend some of his political capital on this issue." While he may have some capital domestically coming out of the election, Internationally he is still the guy that thumbed his nose at the international community going into Iraq, just to have it blow up in his face.
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