Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Yeah, you also can't use the single outlier as an attempt to disprove the rule. Tanguay's shooting percentage is much higher than you'd expect because he basically wouldn't shoot unless he had an empty net or a clear, high-percentage scoring chance. He's always been used as the quintessential example of an outlier. And Ovechkin has been used as the example of an outlier the other way, because he'll take literally any shot opportunity he can get. He shoots more than any player ever - 4541 shots in 10.5 NHL seasons.
So your example is pretty obviously flawed, unless you're trying to suggest that Ferland is, like the two players you refer to, an outlier. In which case, okay, but why do you think that? The reasons that Ovechkin and Tanguay are outliers are east to see. Why should the general rule not apply in Ferland's case? What makes him special?
Then we get to your claim - that Ferland can score 20+ next to Monahan and Gaudreau. Okay, maybe you're right. But why do you think that? Do you think he's going to shoot a lot more than he has in the past? Because it would have to be a LOT more. Or do you think he's an elite-level finishing talent?
|
So the alternative is to look at single stats in a vacuum? All i'm saying is that you can't take a look at a single stat to gauge how well or poorly a player will do.
As for Ferland, he's going to score more because he's going to be playing with better players....pretty simple right?