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Originally Posted by octothorp
I'm not sure what I'm missing in that article, but I don't see anything saying that he's okay at 35%. The closest I can find is this quote:
Which is a very different thing; it's not saying he's okay at 35%; it's saying that if Trump improved by the median amount that approval ratings change between now and the midterms, he could get back to 50%, but it goes on to say that there's roughly equal reason to think that we'll see some reversion to the mean (improvement), vs. the continual downward trend that presidents typically experience.
The article talks a lot about how 25% is probably his floor, but that doesn't mean he's okay now... just that things could still get a lot worse.
If there's another part of the article that says he's okay now, would you mind highlighting that for me?
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Maybe I should have put a line in between those two paragraphs. The senate and house races are one issue, Nate Silver's article is a different issue.
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The democrats are very unfortunate that during this period of turmoil, the Republicans are only defending 8 senate seats compared to the Democrats 23. And only 8 of those 2 seats are at risk. Heller and Flake.
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Regarding the article, perhaps I'm reading between the lines too much but when 25% is described as the possible floor and 37% can easily be fought to a draw then to me it doesn't feel like Trump is in trouble yet at 35%. I mean he won the election at barely 40%. Do you think I'm reading that wrong?