Quote:
Originally Posted by GirlySports
Yes she won California by too much and lost Texas by too little. Both meaningless in the grand scheme of things.
Democrats can flip the house in 2018 but may lose the Senate by even more. The house is where the action will be.
Here's an article by Nate Silver explaining how Trump is still ok at 35%. 25% might be the tipping point that finally shows Trump in trouble.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...proval-rating/ |
Quote:
Originally Posted by octothorp
I'm not sure what I'm missing in that article, but I don't see anything saying that he's okay at 35%. The closest I can find is this quote:
Which is a very different thing; it's not saying he's okay at 35%; it's saying that if Trump improved by the median amount that approval ratings change between now and the midterms, he could get back to 50%, but it goes on to say that there's roughly equal reason to think that we'll see some reversion to the mean (improvement), vs. the continual downward trend that presidents typically experience.
The article talks a lot about how 25% is probably his floor, but that doesn't mean he's okay now... just that things could still get a lot worse.
If there's another part of the article that says he's okay now, would you mind highlighting that for me?
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GirlySports misrepresenting an article to push a nonsensical agenda? Now I've seen everything.