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Old 08-31-2017, 01:42 PM   #8686
octothorp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GirlySports View Post

Here's an article by Nate Silver explaining how Trump is still ok at 35%. 25% might be the tipping point that finally shows Trump in trouble.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...proval-rating/
I'm not sure what I'm missing in that article, but I don't see anything saying that he's okay at 35%. The closest I can find is this quote:
Quote:
Presidential approval ratings shift by a median of 13 percentage points between this point in their terms and the midterm elections — which means that if he’s at 37 percent now, Trump could very easily be at 50 percent in November of 2018 — or at 24 percent.
Which is a very different thing; it's not saying he's okay at 35%; it's saying that if Trump improved by the median amount that approval ratings change between now and the midterms, he could get back to 50%, but it goes on to say that there's roughly equal reason to think that we'll see some reversion to the mean (improvement), vs. the continual downward trend that presidents typically experience.

The article talks a lot about how 25% is probably his floor, but that doesn't mean he's okay now... just that things could still get a lot worse.

If there's another part of the article that says he's okay now, would you mind highlighting that for me?
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