Quote:
Originally Posted by Oil Stain
Flames were also out shot when the score was tied or close.
What does that tell you?
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Fortunately, we have score-adjusted stats that can take into account score effects. Score-adjusted, the Flames were at 50.72% of shots attempts. While they were out-shot when the score was tied, they controlled over 55% of shot attempts while trailing (score effects predict 52% for the team trailing). Average it out, and you get a team that, on average, outshot the Ducks over the course of the series.
Corsi close (within 1 goal) has less predictive power than raw Corsi (unadjusted), which has less predictive power than score-adjusted Corsi.