Quote:
Originally Posted by OMG!WTF!
Actually they happen less. That's not to say they're not worse though.
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Reference?
Full disclosure I am not a climate scientist but was bothered by this statement so did my own (quick google) research. If any of this is wrong please correct me.
My understanding is that the frequency of hurricanes is
hypothesized to decrease with global warming. Although I initially found this counter intuitive the hypothesis makes a lot of sense and is based on:
"Global warming
could affect storm formation by decreasing the temperature difference between the poles and the equator. That temperature difference fuels the mid-latitude storms affect the Earth’s most populated regions."
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Fe...sing_cost5.php
However, historical data has not shown a decrease in hurricane storms (yet):
https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-war...nd-hurricanes/
However there is already evidence that generally hurricanes strengthen significantly faster, are wetter and there are more frequent intense storms.
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Fe...orms/page2.php
Anyways just had time to catch up with the thread and I would like to point out again that a decrease in hurricane storms is modeled to decrease so to say:
Quote:
Originally Posted by OMG!WTF!
I'm not denying climate change. But facts are facts. There have been fewer hurricanes. That was just a response to someone who said there are going to be more because of climate change. I have no doubt changing conditions especially in oceans made Harvey way worse.
There. Ya feel better.
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I think my point is that understanding hurricanes and how they relate to climate change is fairly convoluted. I think there is more than enough evidence that climate change is having an effect on the strength of storms. That said models certainly are not facts and this kind of black and white discussion isn't really helpful in my opinion.