Quote:
Originally Posted by GioforPM
Put another way, would anyone be happy with 9 goals and 27 points out of Jagr (Selanne's last year)? His last season was a little over half the goals and 2/3 of the points of the previous year. Is that a trend?
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2013-14 - 67 points
2014-15 - 47 points
2015-16 - 66 points
2016-17 - 46 points
If there's a trend, it points to him scoring in the mid-60's. He's had two 82 game seasons in that time and the other two were 79 and 77, so it's not like he's busted up.
40+ points seems like a reasonable, if not cautious, expectation. He hasn't been below a 45 point pace since he turned 40, and it's not like there's any particularly good reason to think father time will suddenly catch up to him now. It might, but there's no reason to think it will based on any trend you could look to.