Quote:
Originally Posted by getbak
The Tyrells were going to attack over land (until all the lords who were loyal to Highgarden switched their allegiance to Cersei).
Yara was supposed to sail down to Dorne to get the Dornish army and sail them up to King's Landing to attack from the other side. To march the Dornish army over land would have required them to march across all of Dorne and the Reach (and/or the Stormlands, which have been pretty much ignored in all this), and then they would have been on the same side of King's Landing at the armies from The Reach.
When Tyrion devised the plan, he believed Dany had unchallenged control of the seas with the Iron Fleet, so it would have been a quick hop down to Dorne and back.
He also believed that the armies of both Dorne and The Reach were loyal to Dany. It was believed that the only "Kingdoms" who were loyal to Cersei were the Westerlands (Casterly Rock), the Riverlands, and the Crown Lands (and possibly the Storm Lands -- but no one talks about them).
With King's Landing under siege from The Reach and Dorne, and Casterly Rock under control of the Unsullied, Cersei would have no support and nowhere to run. The war should have been short and decisive.
As the saying goes, all plans only survive to the point of first contact with the enemy.
Tyrion underestimated Cersei's ability to rally the lords of The Reach to support her. Once that happened, Tyrion's plan was screwed. They also didn't anticipate Euron attacking Yara's fleet and capturing the Dornish. That really ruined the plan.
Then, you add in the fact that Casterly Rock's gold mines are empty, and that was the only thing that made Casterly Rock worth anything. It was easy for the Lannisters to abandon it.
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Still a bad plan. The Unsullied are the main fighting force. To have them be so far from the action is a big mistake. Casterly Rock is on the other side of Westeros, making it geographically as far by sea as you can get from King's Landing.
His plan makes sense, with the knowledge he had, minus the actual geography.
I also think they could have dealt with the Tyrell's a lot better. Perhaps as their armies prepared to march out, they could have been betrayed by another house of the reach and simultaneously intercepted by Jaime. Or maybe their ability to defend highgarden could have been dependent on support from the Tarlys. It would have made a lot more sense than them just being bad at fighting.
The jumps you are expected to make in logic would be easier to swallow if there was some kind of consistency with time and geography.