Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
It's obvious why Nashville keeps pushing for these long contracts. What I find amazing is that they keep convincing the players to agree to them.
I think in this case that there is some real risk that he isn't an impact player for that long. But at $4.25M per, it's a pretty good bet to take (for the team).
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I think you're over-estimating that the players who aren't power forwards are potentially actually foregoing future earnings. Let's say he signs a 3.5M two year bridge. What's the highest someone will pay a guy like Arvidsson even if this year is repeated twice? maybe 5.5 x 5? He's not big and I doubt he sees himself being 80+ points during that period of time. Teams, however irrationally, will overpay size and underpay a small guy like Arvidsson.
3.5x2Y + 5Y(5.5M) = 4.93 M AAV
Personally, I think the difference between 4.25M and 4.93M AAV isn't great enough to pass on the job security.