With all that in mind, my guess is the Flames want don't want a one year deal to the point where they'll eventually cave a little on a bigger number for two years (this is the assumption that I feel a lot of fans have wrong - that a two year deal will be super cheap).
I think we'll see $2.75-$3mil over two years. Do I think he's worth it at this point? No. But whether fans like it or not, you can't discount the pedigree of a high draft pick and future potential in contract negotiations, Sam has both of those.
He'll likely sign something in that range and then we'll probably finish our off season with Iginla on a reasonable deal shortly after that.
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