Quote:
Originally Posted by FBI
Quite the difference between Nashville and Florida.
Nashville: 30 goal breakout player, sign him forever.
Florida: 30 goal breakout player, expose him to Vegas.
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I think the difference was when you watched both players.
Arvidsson drove the Nashville offence at the end of last year. He was their key guy, and did so as a 24 year old. He averaged over 3 shoots a game on net, and didn't have an unsustainable shooting percentage. There was nothing lucky about his final numbers, in fact they increased as the year went by. He scored at about a 50 point pace in the first half of the season, about a 70 point pace in the 2nd half.
Marchessault, at 26, was clearly a complementary player for the Florida offence. He averaged about 2.5 shots on net, and had a 15.5% shooting percentage, which would be hard to sustain. He had 33 non-PP points last year, and was a -21, the worse number among Florida forwards. By comparison, Arvidsson was +16, best among Nashville forwards, and had 52 non-PP points.
The Arvidsson contract is likely to be a huge steel for Nashville going forward, as they have him for his entire prime years. Like all long term contracts, there is risk, but the risk is for the right guy, at the right time, at the right price.