Quote:
Originally Posted by GullFoss
I get the protection built into the contract; even as a 20-goal scorer he is arguably worth $4m. And he got 30 goals last year. And if he gets 30 goals a year, Nashville just got a 6m player for $4.25m for 7 years.
But even still - I cant help but think its a lot of risk for Nashville to take on because of the term. In part because the contract is based on 1 good season. And in part because I dont think Arvidsson is actually that good. Meh...I guess we'll see.
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It's inherent when you commit to anything long term but given how you're paying a pretty low cost for only all of a player's premium years, it's hard much easier of a risk management. By the time the deal expires, Arvidsson will be about 31yo. Already you're well ahead because you don't have to deal with the extreme and inevitable decline in a player's performance and even then it'll only be slight at that age which still makes the contract fairly reasonable.
Also it isn't based on 1 good season. Even in 2015-2016 he was showing a lot of promise in breaking out soon. This year was a surprise for a lot of people but I doubt Nashville wasn't expecting it. Even as Arvidsson posted up numbers as a result of increased minutes and better linemates, they're all still promising factors.
Out of the 31 goals, he's got 22 on even strength which is easily the most important. Lead the league with 5 short handed goals. You could continue to look at the underlying numbers as well but even with the eye test it's obvious this is a guy who generates chances regularly.