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Old 07-20-2017, 09:36 AM   #518
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist View Post
Two things.

1) it's fine to disagree, but it's hard to take a contrasting prediction seriously when it's a guy feeling vs a work based on calculations of known quantities
Fair. I think a better way to word how I feel is:

I do not believe that they will be cheaper than an ICE in 10 years for the exact same reason as I do not believe oil demand will increase to 103 Million BPD in 2040. This extrapolation is based on a certain set of assumptions made today that will surely be wrong tomorrow.

I do believe that EV's will be cheaper and that oil demand will continue to rise for the near future. But not to the extent that either entity is forecasting - a lot has to go right for either scenario to come to fruition.

Again, these are my feelings and I may be wrong. Just trying to maintain a disciplined posture of grey in a world of black/white opinions.
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