I agree that 5 X 5.5 sounds about right
But considering his age, and the fact that he bleeds red and should be a lifer, I would propose an 8 year deal.
Usually, longer deals mean a higher AAV, but in this case, because it would take him to age 36, it should mean a lower AAV (those last 3 years should be worth less).
I would propose 8 by $4m (it might take $4.5m).
That would bring down the AAV to a fantastic number, and make him a Flame for life (which he should be).
There is risk with having to pay him $4m when he is 36 of course, but it is well worth it because we get him cheaper now, while we're competing, and hopefully $4m isn't as punitive 9 years from now.
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