Quote:
Originally Posted by saillias
Yup, it's an expected decline. A 31 year old 2nd/3rd line tweener player should never be assumed to replicate his production from his 20s.
Hence my analysis that the contract was terrible the moment it was signed.
If you're thinking he's going to be better next year, well good on you but I'd advise against putting money on it.
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In each of his three seasons prior to joining the Flames Troy Brouwer was a 20 goal/40 point player.
At the age of 30 Brouwer was a 20 goal/40 point player.
Before he was injured in late Dec last year Brouwer was a 20 goal/40 point player.
A full 40% reduction in one year is not by any measure a reasonable expectation for decline in the output of a 31-year-old player. But since you seem to think that this is pretty typical I am interested to see from you an accounting of 30-year-old consistent 40-point players who suddenly experienced such a precipitous decline from which he never recovered.
I cannot help but think that you are being intentionally obtuse in the light of an abundance of statistical evidence. Quite to the contrary, I think it is foolish to bet that if healthy Brouwer will not be better next year.