Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
I don't think he is arguing against self driving, it's an argument against pooled vehicles
All of the things like reduced travel time, less safety features, less parts etc will drive down the capital and operating cost of cars. This will incentivize ownership.
Car2go and Cabs are the same model will a little more convenience yet car ownership even in inner cities outside of the big 5 cities is till very high. Self driving only marginally changes these things
Car ownership may decline slightly but it will be more affordable and more convenient then it is today.
The question that the car sharing pros never answer is why would. Get rid of the convenience of my own car. The only answer is cost and in current models it's still more expensive to not own.
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Pooled vehicles don't REALLY work as well unless they are self driving. That is why companies like Uber & Lyft are pushing towards offering their same service but with the self driving cars.
Either way car sharing is dependent on where you live, and doesn't necessarily have anything to do with owning or not owning a car. If you live & work downtown you could used car sharing to get to work, go to that lunch meeting, etc, etc but still have your own car for the weekend getaway. For many people that would be a lot of more convenient, and possibly even cheaper. How many people on Deerfoot are sitting alone in their vehicle everyday going to work? How efficient is that? Wouldn't it be possible to figure out a self driving car sharing system that gets people to work and home faster and reduces congestion, accidents and numerous other issues that occur during rush hour? At the end of the day an algorithm will be much more efficient for the repetitive task of driving too/from work than a human will be.
I think people are looking at the world the way they know it. The next generation will adapt to the way it is at that time based on what is available and accessible to them. If it is more convenient to use a self driving taxi to get to work everyday, then that is what they will do.