With respect to Hamonic and 2 firsts:
16th overalls in recent years:
Jakob Chychrun
Mathew Barzal
Sonny Milano
Nikita Zadorov
Tom Wilson
Joel Armia
Vladimir Tarasenko
Nick Leddy
Joe Colborne
Colton Gillies
Ty Wishart
Alex Bourret
Petteri Nokelainen
Of course losing out on a Tarasenko calibre player would be franchise defining, but the average 16th overall player is Joe Colborne and you're more likely to end up with a bust than an impact player.
At 20th:
Dennis Cholowski
Joel Eriksson-Ek
Nick Schmaltz
Anthony Mantha
Scott Laughton
Connor Murphy
Beau Bennett
Jacob Josefson
Michael Del Zotto
Angelo Esposito
David Fischer
Kenndal McArdle
Travis Zajac
With the jury still out on Eriksson-Ek, you'd have to go back to 2004 before you find a player in Zajac that might cause some hesitation in trading for Hamonic.
Not to mention that pretty much regardless of how good the draft pick ends up being at this stage, outside of Chychrun, you're pretty much not going to end up with a player who will help out in the next 3 or 4 years. Giordano will be 37 by then, Tkachuk and Bennett will be on their long term contracts. Backlund and Brodie, if they are here, will be on the wrong side of 30. Brodie (if he gets back to his former-self) will also be on a much higher contract.
The best window for the Flames is within the next maybe 3 or 4 years. Hamonic is perfect for that window. A couple long-shot picks, meh, I'd have no issue if Treliving did deal 2 firsts. This isn't the Kessel trade, one pick has already been established at 16th and there's very likely no shot (especially with Hamonic) that the other pick ends up a top 5. Lottery protect it if you can.
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