Quote:
Originally Posted by Roof-Daddy
I concur, goalies are very weird value wise. You'd think they'd be the most valuable assets because they play the most minutes and obviously have a huge influence on the success of their team. Really though, I don't think any goalie is as valuable on the open market as they are to their own team.
The biggest reason for this IMO, is not a lot separates a higher end goalie from an average one. Your average NHL starter faces about 1800 shots in a season. A goalie with a 0.915 sv% will save 1648 of those shots. A goalie with a 0.925 sv% will save 1665 of them. A difference of 17 goals.
So take the Flames for instance. If they had a goalie save them from 17 more goals against that would have dropped them from 219 GA to 202 GA, a difference of 8%.
However, the Flames scored 222 goals and Dougie Hamilton had 50 points, so he contributed to 23% of the Flames offense last season.
So you have a 1st round pick. One Gm is going to give you a potential 50 point Dman for it, the other GM is going to give you a potential 0.925 sv% goalie. Which one do you take?
I take the Dman every time and then go bargain bin shopping for an average 0.915 sv% goalie.
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Have fun shopping - the odds are steep against your team winning the Cup with your bargain bin goaltender. Proven money goaltenders rarely see the open market in their prime years - and I mean the real legit guys like currently Carey Price or Jonathan Quick or when Mikka was the best in the NHL - that's why the market value for goalies seems weird.