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Old 06-16-2017, 09:38 PM   #5254
octothorp
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Yeah, I think the best likely scenario for the Democrats would be to win the house but still be behind in the senate (which also sounds like a likely scenario). That allows them to draw up the articles of impeachment, spend a lot of time focusing on how awful Trump is and the GOP for backing him, grind any Trump/GOP legislation to a halt, and put the ownice on the republican-controlled senate to actually impeach. Then those senators have the worst dilemma; protect Trump and lose moderates, or impeach and lose their base. It's an unwinnable situation for them, and sets up the best possibility for the Dems to get the House/Senate/Presidency in 2020. That's the year that there's potential for the Democrats to gain solid, long-term control of the Senate. (22 Republican seats up vs. only 11 Democrats.) That would also create the huge uncertainty in 2019 and early 2020 of whether Trump is going to survive impeachment and run again, or whether Pence will become the incumbent and run, and whether other Republicans would contest either of them in a primary.

Last edited by octothorp; 06-16-2017 at 09:43 PM.
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