Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Why underdogs do better in hockey than basketball

GGG · 06-05-2017, 01:48 PM

It's simple statistics.

If you have a 10% chance of scoring on any shot and 30 shots per game your variance per game is higher than if 50% of shots go in and you have 100 shots per game.

So if in hockey one team scores on 9% of their opportunities and the other 10% the underdog has a much higher chance of upset than the the team that scores on 45% of there shots vs the team scoring on 50%.

06-05-2017, 01:48 PM	#15
GGG Franchise Player Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: California Exp:	It's simple statistics. If you have a 10% chance of scoring on any shot and 30 shots per game your variance per game is higher than if 50% of shots go in and you have 100 shots per game. So if in hockey one team scores on 9% of their opportunities and the other 10% the underdog has a much higher chance of upset than the the team that scores on 45% of there shots vs the team scoring on 50%.