Quote:
Originally Posted by InCoGnEtO
Even at #16, you are looking at a 2-3 year commitment to get an NHL'er. Wouldn't you prefer 3 or 4 kicks at the can than just one?
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Depends.
If there's a guy available at 16 you think has a 80% chance of becoming a 2nd liner/2nd pairing dman vs trading down a bunch of spots and grabbing a guy that is only 50% or who doesn't have top two line, top 4 dman upside then no, I don't think it would be worth it.
It all depends on who they think will fall to them, the upside of those players, the value being offered to move down, who they think they would get there and the upside of the players from the extra pick(s). It's a complex equation and not as simple as saying more rolls of the dice is always better.
Of course they will talk this through beforehand. Button, the scouts and management will sort through the tiers of this draft. Typically teams won't trade out of a tier they like unless the offer is crazy good. When teams trade down is when all the players they hoped would fall are taken and they think they can trade down and get multiple players from the next tier.