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Originally Posted by bax
Well yeah, but that's not what you said. It's silly to say "we don't want to pick in this range because past managers of the team have made bad picks in that range". There is zero logic.
If the Brad wants a certain guy and thinks he can get him at 20 it makes sense to do that and acquire another pick. It's a crapshoot, but more bullets in the chamber. It's not like they are throwing darts at the board. They know who they want.
I'd even go as far to argue that the odds of getting an impact player at 16 aren't all that different than getting an impact player at 20 or 21. I'm sure the data is out there somewhere.
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Trading down in the first round rarely happens in the NHL for a reason. It's more fan speculation and fantasy from watching too many NFL drafts where trading down is a legit strategy. It's rarely a good idea to decrease your odds of getting a good player. If Brad really like a player that he thinks may be available at 20 he would be better served taking him at 16 and not running the risk of another team taking him.