Quote:
Originally Posted by belsarius
They reached a "4 year agreement". That sounds a little more firm than just a passing fancy that could be defeated in 3 months. I expect they get through at least the first couple of years.
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I'd be shocked if they last one, though mostly because of how thin the combined majority is.
100% attendance is just not possible, for any party. It won't matter for the most part as not that many bills are actually confidence motions. But, that could be one way it falls. Another is a single NDP resignation and they are done - because with an NDP speaker not voting except to break a tie, if they lose just one seat, the Liberals could try to stack the house and punt them.
Or, more likely, the Green-NDP deal will break down. At some point the NDP are going to start chafing at the fact they are the government in name only. Either they will think they can score a majority in a new election, or the Green's demands will reach a point they cannot tolerate. And that will be that.
Minorities are inherently unstable for a reason.