Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkGio
Yeah max deal is wishful thinking for sure. But based on the compensation rates, a 9.9 is a really good deal for him, so I think he'll get at least that.
The thing is, if a team is confident in it's draft history, losing four first round picks can be disasterous, especially if you're a bad team after that trade. Here's the "best" of the first round picks prior to the McDavid draft, assuming a top 5-10 pick:
- Ehlers
- Monahan
- Lindholm
- Scheifele
I would take those four players over one McDavid any day.
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If you signed McDavid and your team had 4 lottery picks you did a terrible job with the rest of your team. If some team miraculously got the best 4 players in the draft outside the top 5 that team is incredibly lucky.
A more likely scenario if you signed McDavid would be two picks between 15-20 and two picks between 20-25. In those 4 years you cited, if you got the best pick in each draft you would have
Klefbom
Hertl
Burakovsky
Pastranak
McDavid is worth all those players and then some. And those 4 players are the best case scenarios in the 2011-2014 drafts. Only with magical draft picks is the age old truism of hockey "he who gets the best player wins the trade" false. Draft picks are the kryptonite to that saying.