Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
Cam Talbot in round 1:
- 2GP with < .920 SP
- 4GP with > .930 SP
- 2SO, 12 GA
Cam Talbot in round 2:
- 3GP with < .920 SP
- 4GP with > .930 SP
- 0 SO, 21 GA
Was Talbot better or not quite as good in Round 2 as he was in Round 1?
The point IS NOT that he fell apart because of fatigue. The point is that as good as he was against Anaheim he was not as good as he was against SJ. Considering the number of games he played this year it is perfectly understandable why.
Like I said, NHL goalies almost never play more than 85-90 games in a season. In a playoff series with all things being equal, chances are better that a goalie having played 70 games will win the series rather than the goalie who has played +80 games.
|
It doesn't really matter if Talbot was better in the second round than the first round. Here is what matters.
Talbot's save percentage:
In the second round= .923%
In the regular season= .919%
You can go by the numbers or you can go by the eye. Both of those pieces of evidence tell us that Talbot was just fine with the workload.
I know you are following the odds of failure historically attributed to 85+ game goalies winning playoff rounds, but that stat just doesn't have any analysis behind it. It's an oddity, but I wouldn't say it has any predictive power.