Look, an existing team will always have an advantage in re-signing a pending UFA, simply because of the huge negotiation window and players' reluctance to relocate (which is why guys who have moved before via trade are more likely to move as a UFA). But big salary demands, limited budgets, crappy locations and winning prospects will all play a part. I'd put the odds at a re-signing at 66%. But only if the Oilers pay top dollar. There will be no discount.
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