Quote:
Originally Posted by opendoor
Yeah, it's hard to know for sure. Though I just glanced through some other Vancouver Island ridings from 2013 and the NDP's absentee numbers outperformed their overall ones in every case that I looked at.
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I bet a lot of student/youth votes in those absentee ballots and they'd likely hue NDP so probably not surprising. I suppose there could be a larger percentage of Green votes in there thou so that might be a wild card.
That's probably going to hold. Outside of your threshold for what constitutes a spoiled ballot being really low, it's really hard to record a vote wrong. I live in Calgary-Glenmore that district was tied on election night 2015 and even with a result that close the overall vote only changed by six through the recount process.