Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
One interesting problem that puts 2030 out of reach is the increase in electricity demand. Has someone run the numbers on how many natural gas / nuclear plants we need to build to support the electric cars and how much additional transmission we need to support say 30-50% electric vehicles. Right now just building the plants to replace the coal we are taking out of the system is a challenging timeline
Not that it can't be done from a technology perspective just the time crunch to do it. 3-5 years for natural gas plants and probably 10 for a nuclear plant leaves really long leads to ramp up the grid. There is no incentive to build these new plants prior to this new demand being proven. So as part of this conversion to electric cars we will see spikes in Electricity rates which push back the economics on cars.
In a 20/50/100 percent EV world what % of electricity would be transportation.
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In Alberta? I don't see it as a big challenge. The BC Site C dam needs a market for its power. NG conversions on some of the coal plants are scheduled already, and don't have take a huge amount of time. Demand is going to ramp up gradually, so if it comes it shouldn't be to hard to build them as needed.